weightloss.com.au
weightloss.com.au

Weight Loss Medication Statistics

Weight loss medication use has surged globally since 2021, driven by the approval of injectable GLP-1 receptor agonists like Wegovy and Zepbound. Every data point is sourced and linked to government, institutional, or published research.

Last updated: April 2026

587%
Increase in US GLP-1 prescriptions for obesity, 2019 to 2024
FAIR Health, May 2025
$53.5B
Global GLP-1 receptor agonist market size in 2024 (USD)
Grand View Research
~10M
Estimated Americans currently on GLP-1 treatment (2025)
JPMorgan Research
80+
GLP-1 medications currently in development globally
Ozmosi / industry reports

GLP-1 prescriptions for weight management (not diabetes) have grown nearly 20x since 2019, driven by the approval of Wegovy (2021) and Zepbound (2023). Non-diabetic prescriptions jumped 1,961% in five years.

11.2% of patients diagnosed with overweight or obesity were prescribed a GLP-1 drug in 2024, despite overwhelming clinical evidence. This suggests the market is still in early innings, with massive unmet demand.

HealthVerity / FAIR Health (2025)

Estimated Americans on GLP-1 Treatment

Millions of patients, 2020 to 2030 (projected). Lighter bars indicate projections.

Source: JPMorgan Research (Feb 2026); UBS Global (2024); CDC NCHS Data Brief No. 537 (Aug 2025)

1,961%
Non-diabetic GLP-1 Rx growth (2019-2024)
588%
Growth in 18-39 year old GLP-1 users
26.5%
US diabetic adults using GLP-1s (2024)
42%
Decline in bariatric surgery rates
Section 2

A Market Projected to Reach $157 Billion by 2030

The global GLP-1 market tripled between 2022 and 2024. Two companies, Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly, control virtually the entire market, though 25+ companies are developing competing products.

Global GLP-1 Market Size (USD Billions)

2020 to 2030 projected. Dashed line indicates projections.

Source: Grand View Research; Mordor Intelligence; UBS Global estimates (2024)

Revenue by Product (2024, USD Billions)

Novo Nordisk vs Eli Lilly portfolio

Source: Novo Nordisk SEC 6-K filing (2024); Eli Lilly SEC 8-K filing (Q3 2025); Fierce Pharma (Feb 2025)

  • Novo Nordisk total 2024 sales: ~US$41B (290.4B DKK), 26% growth at constant currencies.
  • Eli Lilly Q3 2025 revenue: US$17.6B, 54% YoY growth, driven primarily by Mounjaro and Zepbound.
  • Novo Nordisk's market cap exceeded the entire GDP of Denmark in 2024.
  • Wegovy revenue doubled from ~US$4.4B (2023) to ~US$8B (2024).
Section 3

Semaglutide Displaced Everything, Then Tirzepatide Arrived

In 2018, semaglutide accounted for just 5% of GLP-1 prescriptions. By 2023, it held 63%. As of late 2025, tirzepatide has become the most prescribed GLP-1 for both diabetes and obesity indications.

GLP-1 Prescription Share by Molecule

Share of total GLP-1 prescriptions, 2018 to 2025

Source: UTHealth Houston / Am J Manag Care (2025); Truveta/medRxiv (Oct 2025)

  • Saxenda (liraglutide for weight loss) dropped from 79% of weight loss GLP-1 Rx (2018) to 9% (2023).
  • 2.45 million patients were prescribed a GLP-1 RA between Jan 2018 and Sep 2025 in the Truveta dataset, totalling 12.2 million prescriptions.
  • Tirzepatide is now the most prescribed GLP-1 for both diabetes and obesity indications as of September 2025.
Section 4

Real-World Weight Loss Is Roughly Half What Trials Show

Clinical trials enrol carefully selected, closely monitored participants. In everyday practice, lower adherence, earlier discontinuation, and suboptimal dosing mean patients typically lose about half the weight seen in pivotal trials.

3.6% vs 6.8% body weight lost. Patients who discontinued semaglutide or tirzepatide within the first 3 months lost only 3.6%. Those who stayed on for 3 to 12 months lost 6.8%. Adherent patients at target doses approach trial-level results.

Obesity journal (2025) via HealthVerity

Clinical Trial vs Real-World Weight Loss

Average % body weight lost after approximately 1 year

Source: STEP 1 (NEJM 2021); SURMOUNT-1 (NEJM 2022); Real-world data: Obesity journal (2025) via HealthVerity

Efficacy Comparison: All Approved Medications

Average % weight loss from pivotal trials (highest approved dose)

Source: Published pivotal trial data. See individual drug pages under /medication/ for full citations.

Section 5

Persistence Is Improving but Remains a Challenge

One-year persistence with weight loss GLP-1s has nearly doubled from 33% in 2021 to 61% in 2024, likely driven by resolving drug shortages, better side effect management, and expanded insurance coverage. But only 14% remain on Wegovy after 3 years.

1-Year Persistence Rate by Year of Initiation

% of commercially insured patients still on therapy at 12 months

Source: Prime Therapeutics / JMCP (2026); Gleason et al., JMCP (2024, PMID 38717042)

61%
Latest 1-year persistence (H1 2024 cohort)
27%
Fully adherent (PDC >=80%) at 1 year
14%
Patients on Wegovy after 3 years
85%
Typical adherence rate in clinical trials
  • Median time to discontinuation: 279 days for semaglutide (Ozempic), 120 days for liraglutide (Saxenda).
  • Semaglutide (Ozempic) had the best 1-year persistence at 47.1%; liraglutide (Saxenda) had the worst at 19.2%.
  • Probability of discontinuation drops dramatically after the first 6 weeks (early GI side effects period).
  • Patients prescribed by endocrinologists or obesity medicine specialists were more likely to stay on treatment.
  • Top reasons for stopping: cost, side effects, perceived goal reached.
  • 63% of Wegovy/Zepbound starters in early 2024 remained on therapy at 1 year, up from 40% in 2023.
  • GLP-1 treatments showed over twice the odds of discontinuation due to adverse events compared with placebo in trials.
Section 6

Who Is Using Weight Loss Medication?

GLP-1 use for weight loss skews heavily female. Among non-diabetic users, approximately 80% are women. Usage is highest among 50 to 64 year olds, and 1 in 4 GLP-1 prescriptions are for patients without a diabetes diagnosis.

GLP-1 Users by Sex (Non-Diabetic)

Proportion of weight loss GLP-1 prescriptions

Source: UTHealth Houston / Am J Manag Care (2025)

GLP-1 Use by Ethnicity (US, Diabetic Adults)

% of adults with diagnosed diabetes using GLP-1 injectables, 2024

Source: CDC NCHS Data Brief No. 537 (Aug 2025)

  • 1 in 4 GLP-1 prescriptions are for patients without a type 2 diabetes diagnosis.
  • GLP-1 injectable use was higher among those with greater BMI.
  • Usage was highest among 50-64 year olds (33.3%) and lowest among 65+ (20.8%).
  • Among diabetic patients, those already taking insulin (31.3%) or oral glucose-lowering medications (28.1%) were more likely to also use a GLP-1 injectable.
  • 8-10% of Americans are currently taking GLP-1s; 30-35% are interested in using them.
Section 7

What Weight Loss Medication Actually Costs

Monthly costs vary dramatically by country, insurance status, and medication type. In Australia, no weight loss medication is PBS-subsidised for the obesity indication, leaving patients to pay $300 to $500+ per month privately.

Monthly Cost Comparison (AUD Equivalent)

Estimated out-of-pocket cost per month, Australia (private prescription)

Source: Australian pharmacy pricing; manufacturer pricing announcements; PBS schedule

Australia

  • No weight loss medication is currently listed on the PBS for weight management.
  • PBAC recommended Wegovy be subsidised (Jan 2026) for adults with BMI >=35 and established CVD; price negotiations with Novo Nordisk are underway.
  • If PBS-listed, Wegovy would cost $25/script ($7.70 concession).
  • Ozempic is on the PBS only for type 2 diabetes, not for obesity.
  • Saxenda (liraglutide) was discontinued in Australia in December 2025.
  • Compounded GLP-1 replicas were banned from October 2024.

United States

  • US list price for GLP-1s: US$1,000-$1,350/month.
  • Medicare negotiated price (BALANCE pilot, 2026): US$245/month.
  • Oral Wegovy: US$149/month starting dose.
  • Zepbound LillyDirect: Available for cash-pay patients.
  • Generic liraglutide (Teva) launched August 2025.
  • 52% of US employers currently cover GLP-1s for weight loss; 70% of non-covering employers say they might add coverage if prices drop.
Section 8

What Is Coming Next

The current Novo Nordisk / Eli Lilly duopoly is expected to face increasing competition from 2027 onwards. At least 25 companies are developing GLP-1 and related molecules, with several in late-stage trials showing weight loss exceeding current approved options.

Pipeline Drug Efficacy vs Approved Medications

Average % weight loss from highest available trial data

Source: Published trial data: Retatrutide (NEJM 2023); CagriSema (REDEFINE-1); Survodutide (NEJM 2024); Orforglipron (ATTAIN-1); MariTide (ObesityWeek 2024); Amycretin (EASD 2024)

US$30-55B projected annual reduction in food and beverage industry revenue by 2030 to 2034 due to GLP-1 treatments. Users consume 21% fewer calories and spend 31% less on groceries. An estimated 30 million Americans will be on GLP-1 treatment by 2030.

JPMorgan Research (Feb 2026); PwC (2024)

  • Pfizer acquired Metsera for US$10B in late 2025 after its internal GLP-1 candidate was discontinued.
  • AstraZeneca, Zealand Pharma, Roche, and Amgen are all expected to enter the GLP-1 market between 2027 and 2032.
  • Ozmosi predicts 1-2 new GLP-1 launches annually starting in 2026.
  • UBS forecasts 40 million people globally on GLP-1s by 2029, with 44% in the US.
  • The oral GLP-1 market is a new frontier: Novo Nordisk's Wegovy pill launched Jan 2026; Eli Lilly's orforglipron is expected mid-2026.

This page is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute medical advice, diagnosis, or treatment recommendations. Statistics represent published research findings and may not reflect individual outcomes. Always consult a qualified healthcare professional before starting any medication.

Sources and References

  1. CDC NCHS Data Brief No. 537: GLP-1 Injectable Use Among Adults With Diagnosed Diabetes (Aug 2025)
  2. FAIR Health: GLP-1 Prescription Growth Study (May 2025)
  3. JPMorgan Research: How Supply and Demand for Weight Loss Drugs is Playing Out in 2026 (Feb 2026)
  4. UBS Global: GLP-1 Market Forecast (2024)
  5. PwC: GLP-1 Trends & Impact Survey (2024)
  6. Novo Nordisk Annual Report 2024, SEC 6-K filing
  7. Eli Lilly Q3 2025 Earnings, SEC 8-K filing
  8. Truveta: GLP-1 RA Prescribing Trends Monitoring Report (medRxiv, Oct 2025)
  9. UTHealth Houston: GLP-1 RA Prescribing Trends 2018-2023 (Am J Manag Care, Nov 2025)
  10. Prime Therapeutics / JMCP: 1-Year GLP-1RA Persistence Trends (2026)
  11. Gleason et al.: Real-world GLP-1 persistence and adherence (JMCP, 2024, PMID 38717042)
  12. Thomsen et al.: Real-world evidence on GLP-1RA-based weight-loss therapies (Diabetes Obes Metab, 2025)
  13. HealthVerity: GLP-1 Trends 2025 (Aug 2025)
  14. HealthVerity: The GLP-1 Surge (Aug 2025)
  15. Blue Health Intelligence: Real-world trends in GLP-1 treatment persistence (2024)
  16. Creo Clinic: Ozempic/GLP-1 Statistics (Nov 2025)
  17. TGA: New diabetes and weight loss medicines safety alert
  18. FDA: Medications Target Weight Loss
  19. Fierce Pharma: Novo Nordisk 2024 results (Feb 2025)